There are so many things that are exposed (exposed in the sense of your
own discernment will expose them because you can see through all of the
propaganda and understand what they are REALLY saying) in this article,
it is unreal:
http://www.cfr.org/philippines/treading-softly-philippines/p18079
Treading Softly in the Philippines
Authors: Max Boot, Jeane J. Kirkpatrick Senior Fellow for National Security Studies and Richard Bennet
Volume 014, Issue 16
Weekly Standard
Zamboanga City, Philippines
The
war on terror that the Obama administration is inheriting comes with a
decidedly mixed record. Stopping attacks on the American homeland since
2001 has been the Bush administration's biggest accomplishment. Turning
around the war effort in Iraq, which was on the verge of failure in
2006, has been another signal success. But, as the Mumbai attacks remind
us, the threat of Islamist terrorism has hardly been extinguished. Al
Qaeda and other extremists have found in Pakistan the haven they lost in
Afghanistan after 2001. Since then they have waged an insurgency, with
growing success, against governments in both Kabul and Islamabad.
Meanwhile, Iran continues to be an active sponsor of terrorism as well
as a seeker of nuclear weapons. Its proxies may have been routed in
Iraq, but they remain as powerful as ever in Lebanon, and their
tentacles spread as far as South America.
Almost forgotten amid
these major developments is a tiny success story in Southeast Asia that
may offer a more apt template than either Iraq or Afghanistan for
fighting extremists in many corners of the world. The southern islands
of the Philippines, inhabited by Muslims known as Moros (Spanish for
"Moor"), have been in almost perpetual rebellion against the Christian
majority ruling in Manila. They fought the Spaniards when they arrived
500 years ago, and they fought the Americans when they arrived more than
100 years ago. The latest rebellion broke out in the early 1970s and
has killed well over 120,000 people. It was led initially by the Moro
National Liberation Front (MNLF), which challenged a martial-law regime
of dictator Ferdinand Marcos. That group began to reach accommodation
with Manila in 1975--a process completed by a democratic government in
1996. The MNLF demobilized its fighters, and most of its members melted
back into the populace. Some even took positions in the local government
or the security forces. But along the way several dangerous splinter
factions broke off.
The largest and most moderate of these is the
Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF), which, as the name would
indicate, has a more religious emphasis than its socialist-nationalist
forerunner. It, too, has been in negotiations with the government, but
the peace process broke down in August after the Philippine Supreme
Court, much to the consternation of President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo,
ruled unconstitutional a plan to grant the Muslim region a large degree
of autonomy. (Judicial activism, it seems, is one of many American
exports that have taken root here.) While most of the MILF, 8,000-10,000
strong, remained at peace, several of its "base commands," numbering a
few thousand fighters, declared war on the Philippine government and the
non-Muslim inhabitants of the island of Mindanao, burning Christian
villages and slaughtering their inhabitants. An estimated 200 people
were killed, and tens of thousands turned into refugees.
The more
extremist of these base commands have established a symbiotic
relationship with Jemaah Islamiyah, the Indonesian terrorist group that
carried out the infamous bombing in Bali that killed over 200 people in
2002, and Abu Sayyaf, a homegrown Filipino jihadist group launched by
veterans of the 1980s war against the Soviets in Afghanistan. Those
groups, in turn, developed close ties in the 1990s with al Qaeda.
Muhammad Jamal Khalifa, Osama bin Laden's brother-in-law, moved to
Manila to provide financing and organizational assistance to local
radicals. Training camps were set up in the poorly policed hinterland in
the Muslim south, and ambitious plots were hatched. These included
plans to blow up 11 airliners in midair, crash a hijacked airliner into
the CIA's headquarters, and assassinate Pope John Paul II while he was
visiting the Philippines in 1995. Among the chief plotters present in
the Philippines were Ramzi Yousef, coordinator of the 1993 World Trade
Center bombing, and his uncle, Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, who would go on
to mastermind the September 11, 2001, attacks.
The attacks on New
York and Washington finally awakened the U.S. government to the need to
do something about the Philippine branch of the global jihad. Military
exercises were conducted with the Philippines, and Special Forces and
CIA teams were dispatched to provide training and intelligence support
for local security forces. An early, largely successful example of
Philippine-American cooperation came in the search for an Abu Sayyaf
squad that in 2001 abducted 20 people, including three Americans, from a
beach resort in the southern Philippines. Eventually the kidnappers
were hunted down and captured or killed, although two of the Americans
died as well--one executed by the kidnappers, the other killed in a
bungled rescue attempt by the Philippine Army.
Since then, the
United States has set up a Joint Special Operations Task Force to direct
Operation Enduring Freedom-Philippines. We recently spent a couple of
weeks meeting and traveling with task force members to get an overview
of their operations. With only 600 or so personnel, the task force
operates throughout the sprawling southern Philippines--a region known
to earlier generations of American soldiers as Moroland. There are only 5
million Muslims in the entire Philippine population of 90 million; 80
percent of Filipinos are Roman Catholics, making this the only Christian
country in Asia. The Philippines has a smaller Muslim minority than
France, but it is overwhelmingly concentrated in a few places. The
largest island in the Muslim region is Mindanao, with a population of 18
million, 30 percent of them Muslims. (The percentage was considerably
higher a century ago, back when young Captain Jack Pershing was fighting
Moro rebels, but in the 20th century the Philippine government
resettled millions of Christians from other islands here.) There is also
a string of smaller, heavily Muslim islands in the Sulu archipelago
stretching through azure-blue waters to the borders of Malaysia and
Indonesia.
What all these areas share, in addition to their
Muslim populations, is inaccessible terrain, with lots of triple-canopy
jungles, treacherous swamps, and soaring mountains that provide ideal
hideouts for outlaws. The surrounding waters are plied by countless
small boats that operate with little scrutiny from the Philippines' tiny
navy, which has only 62 patrol boats to cover thousands of miles of
coastline. Smuggling terrorist operatives, arms, and drugs in and out is
all too easy.
The rebels have another advantage. They can tap
into a widespread sense of alienation among some of the Philippines'
poorest inhabitants. Before we traveled south in a tiny C-12 passenger
aircraft, officials at the stately U.S. embassy in Manila told us that
in the Philippines as a whole life expectancy is over 70 years, but in
Mindanao it's only 52 years. Nominal GDP per capita in the entire
country is $1,600; in Mindanao it's less than $700. More than 55 percent
of families in the Muslim region are living below the poverty line,
double the share nationwide.
We could see the difference for
ourselves. Manila has its slums, but it also has soaring skyscrapers and
gleaming malls that would look right at home in Dubai or Singapore. In
Mindanao's second-largest city, Zamboanga, by contrast, there is not a
high-rise in sight. Instead there are lots of tin-roofed shacks that
serve as mom-and-pop stores and living quarters, often at the same time.
In the countryside, even that seems luxurious. Here you enter a world
of thatched-roof huts, often without windows, electricity, or indoor
plumbing. Many Muslims blame their lack of economic development on
discrimination and lack of sympathy on the part of the overwhelmingly
Catholic authorities in faraway Manila. The more radical among them
think that Muslims should rule as far north as the national capital, as
they did before the Spaniards arrived in 1521. It is little wonder that
jihadist propaganda, spread by Saudi-funded mosques, literature, and
charities, has found a receptive audience among people with such a long
history of grievance (even if the easy-going Filipinos, like most
tropical peoples, are hardly the most receptive audience for the
fundamentalist dictates of an austere Wahhabism born in the deserts of
Arabia).
To counter the influence of religious fanaticism,
Colonel Bill Coultrup directs a multifaceted counterinsurgency from the
Joint Special Operations Task Force's headquarters in a small, sealed
compound on Camp Navarro, a Philippine military base nestled next ato
Zamboanga airport. A self-effacing man with a ready smile and a puckish
sense of humor, Coultrup is not one to boast of his achievements, but he
spent more than a decade with one of the military's legendary
counterterrorism units. During that time he scored some notable
successes that are much-discussed in military circles but remain
classified. In the Philippines, he has had to master a very different
way of war. In sharp contrast to Iraq, where American commandos have had
virtual free rein to kill and capture "high value targets," here they
are forbidden by the Philippine government from engaging in any direct
combat operations. Their role is to bolster the Philippine armed forces;
their oft-repeated mantra is "through, by, and with." That sometimes
rankles some of these seasoned special operators. The leader of one
Special Forces A-Team told us, "If I had the ability to do here what I
did in Iraq last year, this fight would have been over in two days."
But that isn't an option because of Filipino nationalist sensitivities,
and in the best Special Forces tradition Coultrup and his troops have
made the necessary adjustments from a "Direct Action" mission to one of "Foreign Internal Defense."
Their weapons include bounties for information leading to the capture
of wanted terrorists as part of the U.S. "Rewards for Justice" program;
training, support, and intelligence-sharing for the Philippine armed
forces; and a combination of "information operations" and "civil affairs
operations" to wean the populace away from the insurgents. "The goal,"
Coultrup says, "is to set conditions for good governance, and
you do that by removing the safe havens of these terrorist groups and
addressing the specific conditions that contribute to those safe
havens."
We were briefed on each aspect of the task force's
operations while spending time in and around the cities of Zamboanga and
Cotabato on Mindanao and Jolo on Sulu island--all areas that host
substantial Special Operations detachments, mainly Army Green Berets and
Navy SEALs, backed by support forces from all the services.
An
important component of their work is providing "information operations
support" to the Philippine armed forces. Psychological operations
specialists showed us two initiatives designed to counter the
terrorists' propaganda. One is a text messaging campaign (texting is the
preferred medium of communication here) that encourages recipients to
participate in peace-promotion programs and report information to
Philippine authorities on terrorist activities. The other is a slickly
produced comic book series aimed at 18-to-24-year-old males, the prime
recruits for all extremist groups, featuring a Jack Bauer-style hero
battling villainous terrorists. All of the products
have to be translated into multiple languages because of the
multiplicity of regional tongues spoken in these polyglot islands.
Even
more than psy-ops, civil affairs is a prime "line of operations" for
the U.S. forces. A U.S. Army captain, head of a four-man civil affairs
team, drove us for hours around rural Mindanao to show us projects that
he is funding, including a new high school in a remote region and a new
building for an existing elementary school. He also showed off a huge
pile of coconut lumber, bamboo, and corrugated tin--materials that will
be used to rebuild 81 homes destroyed by rogue elements of the Moro
Islamic Liberation Front in the fighting back in August. The goal, he
explained, is "persistent engagement," creating projects that require
him and his Filipino counterparts to make multiple visits to check on
progress. Those visits engender trust with the locals and can lead them
to provide vital intelligence on insurgents.
Such considerations
were also very much on the mind of a Green Beret master sergeant a few
days later while he was directing, alongside his Filipino partners, a
"Medcap" (Medical Civil Action Project) in a small village on Sulu
Island. Working with a Philippine Marine battalion, the Special Forces
soldiers had set up a one-day clinic where residents could come in for
free medical and dental treatment. Cartoons were provided to entertain
kids, and free medicines were handed out to all. "It's important that
they don't leave empty handed," said one Philippine soldier. "We treat
those who need medical attention, and give vitamins and toothbrushes to
those who don't. Everyone receives something." In return, all residents
have to do is provide their names and dates of birth, which helps
security forces build a better picture of the populace.
Such
enterprises build goodwill with the locals and encourage them to chat
freely with both Philippine and American soldiers. "I'm trying to
determine their feelings toward us," the rail-thin master sergeant
explained, while enthusiastic villagers swirled around him. "You can't
ask directly. You have to probe around to find out if they want us here.
If so, that means they're open to us, which will make it easy to push
the bad guys out. But if they don't want us here after we've given them
all this, that means they're heavily influenced by the bad guys, so we
have our work cut out for us."
He added that the Abu Sayyaf
Group, which has redoubts in nearby mountains, will try to do "negative
information operations" to counter the Medcaps, telling residents they
can't trust the Americans because they won't stick around. To stymie the
insurgents, the master sergeant added, his A-Team will work with
Filipino authorities to repaint a local school or undertake some other
project. While there is nothing covert about the American role (the
master sergeant is wearing his uniform), he and other Americans are
careful to deflect most of the credit to their Philippine counterparts.
"We want to show what the AFP [Armed Forces of the Philippines] have
done for the people," the sergeant explained, "and we want the people to
ask what has ASG [the Abu Sayyaf Group] ever done for us?"
The
sergeant works for a larger Special Operations force on Sulu. Its
commander, Major Joe Mouer, ticked off how many such civil affairs
projects his troops have undertaken in cooperation with the Philippine
Marines: They have completed 80 miles of road, 34 wells, 40 schools. At
their headquarters in Jolo City, the American troops even host a weekly
movie night for hundreds of local kids. We attended one such event,
finding hordes of happy kids sitting on the floor of a large hall,
watching an animated feature while munching free popcorn. Soldiers act
as ushers, but they are dressed in civilian clothes and don't carry
weapons so as to create a nonthreatening environment. To counter enemy
propaganda that such events are used for Christian proselytizing, Mouer
has invited a local Muslim cleric to give a blessing before the start of
each movie.
The Joint Special Operations Task Force is hardly
alone in trying to improve life for Philippine Muslims. The U.S. Agency
for International Development is also active in Mindanao, with $130
million worth of projects planned over the next five years. Completed
projects include retraining former Moro National Liberation Front
fighters in farming skills and installing computer labs in hundreds of
high schools. The U.S. Navy has contributed by having the hospital ship
Mercy pay regular visits to the Philippines to treat tens of thousands
of patients.
These examples might give the impression that
Operation Enduring Freedom-Philippines is solely a "hearts and minds"
endeavor. While "nonkinetic" operations do constitute a large part of
the mission, U.S. forces also help Filipino troops to capture and kill
insurgents more efficiently. At a "team house" located on a Philippine
military base in rural Mindanao, a Special Forces captain ran down for
us all the training missions his 12-man A-Team has undertaken since
arriving in the area in May. They have shared their knowledge of
mortars, long-range marksmanship, and even digital cameras. Using an
array of manned and unmanned aerial vehicles they have also provided
real-time intelligence that has allowed Philippine forces to track and
target elusive insurgents. Just as important, their world-class medics
have provided critical care to Philippine soldiers who have been injured
in battle. In some cases they have even arranged for "medevac" to
distant hospitals. Knowing that they will be taken care of should they
be wounded encourages Philippine soldiers to fight harder.
We
found out how much Philippine troops appreciate such assistance when we
went to visit the hilltop command post where Colonel Marlou Salazar, a
Philippine brigade commander, briefed us on the progress of his
operations against renegade Moro Islamic Liberation Front commanders. On
one side of his map there is a piece of paper that states his
objective: "Get Kato dead or alive." Ameril Umbra Kato is a
Saudi-educated MILF commander who went on the warpath in August. Salazar
has not achieved his goal yet, but he has managed to put Kato on the
run and capture or kill many of his men with an effective offensive that
received crucial support from the U.S. A-Team. "We boxed the area,
maneuvered, and attacked," Salazar says proudly, pointing out where the
battles occurred in the swampy valley below. He then shows off a hoard
of captured weapons, including a mortar whose serial number indicates it
was made in Pakistan.
At the request of the Philippine
government, which wants to negotiate with it, the MILF has not formally
been designated a terrorist organization by the U.S. Department of
State, but some of its "lawless" elements are closely intertwined with
Jemaah Islamiyah and Abu Sayyaf, providing these groups sanctuary in
territory they control. U.S. forces are therefore allowed to support the
Philippine military in their operations to reduce those safe havens. By
contrast, U.S. troops are prohibited from helping the Filipinos battle
another major insurgent group, the communist New People's Army, which
sometimes cooperates with MILF but which is deemed by Washington of
purely local interest--not part of the global war on terror.
Traditional
"kinetic" operations in which bullets are fired and bombs dropped are
still part of the Philippine strategy against their numerous guerrilla
foes, but they have become less important over the years, thanks partly
to the advice Philippine forces have received from the U.S. Special
Forces. At the officers' club of the Philippine Marine headquarters in
Manila, we sat down with Major General Juancho Sabban, a bullet-headed,
brown-skinned, bull-necked Filipino who has spent much of the past 30
years battling various insurgent groups. Today he commands Task Force
Comet, two marine brigades charged with pacifying Sulu island.
"For
three decades we were using a strategy of force," he says. "It turned
out to be a vicious cycle. We would have body count syndrome. Commanders
would become popular because they were warrior-like. But I saw the more
we destroyed, the more the number of the enemy increased. There were so
many instances of collateral damage and innocent lives being
sacrificed. Just by passing through fields with so many battalions we
were already stomping on crops and that makes people resent the
military. In the course of a firefight school buildings would get
burned, houses would be razed to the ground, civilians caught in the
crossfire. Everything was blamed on the military."
Now,
General Sabban says, the Philippine armed forces and their American
allies have "shifted strategy": "I have told my commanders that all
military operations should be intelligence-driven and surgical. How do
we do this? Through intelligence enhanced by
civil-military operations. We do civil-military operations to get people
onto our side. More people on your side will produce more and better
intelligence, and if you have better intelligence you'll have more
successful operations that are precise and surgical and that don't hurt
innocent civilians. Thus we will get more support from the people and
you will be denying the enemy resources and space to operate. People
will drive them from their own areas. So now their space is getting
smaller and smaller, until we can pinpoint them with information coming
from the people themselves."
Much of the available
evidence supports General Sabban's belief that the new strategy has been
successful. Abu Sayyaf hasn't managed a high-profile terrorist attack
since Valentine's Day 2005, when it set off a series of bombs in Manila
and Mindanao that killed 11 people and injured 93. Smaller attacks
continue, but there has been nothing on the scale of the bombing that
devastated the passenger ship SuperFerry 14 in Manila Bay in 2004,
killing 116 people. The group has splintered in recent years, with its
remnants focusing increasingly on kidnapping-for-ransom, which is hardly
different from ordinary criminal activity and signals the dire
financial straits the group faces. Abu Sayyaf has also made common cause
with marijuana and amphetamine producers who find shelter in
guerrilla-controlled areas. Its estimated strength has fallen from more
than 1,200 in 2002 to fewer than 500 today. Jemaah Islamiyah has fewer
than 100 members left in the Philippines. The links between the
Philippines and al Qaeda largely have been severed.
Of crucial
importance, many of the top leaders of both Jemaah Islamiyah and Abu
Sayyaf have been eliminated. Only nine or ten "high value targets" are
still on the loose, but getting them has been a study in frustration.
The rugged terrain allows the kingpins to slip away into the jungle
before ground troops can reach them. And the Philippine armed forces are
sorely restricted in their capacity for precision bombing. Several
Philippine and American soldiers we spoke with expressed frustration
that the Philippine armed forces lack armed Predator drones, AC-130
gunships, satellite-guided Joint Direct Attack Munitions, and other
high-tech U.S. weapons that could more quickly finish off terrorist
leaders. But the Philippine government isn't willing to pay for this
fancy gear, and the U.S. government hasn't been willing to donate it.
(Apparently some at the State Department fear that such weapons could be
turned against the New People's Army, though why that should be a cause
for concern is not clear, since the NPA is classified as a terrorist
organization by the State Department.)
Even without this
high-tech equipment, however, the counterinsurgency campaign has been
enjoying impressive success. We could see it for ourselves as we drove
around areas that had once been infested with insurgents. In central
Mindanao, the roads we traveled were deemed so safe that neither we nor
our military escorts wore body armor, and we moved in unarmored SUVs.
The
question now being debated about the Philippines at U.S. Pacific
Command is similar to the one being debated about Iraq at U.S. Central
Command: When can we leave without jeopardizing the gains that have been
made? In both cases, soldiers on the ground are saying "not yet."
Colonel Coultrup points out that in 2002 U.S. troops supported the
Philippine armed forces as they chased terrorists off Basilan Island,
but then U.S. forces left and the Philippine forces drew down. This
allowed the terrorists to stage a resurgence culminating in an attack in
June 2007 in which 14 Philippine Marines were killed, 10 of them
decapitated. In early December, another clash on Basilan killed 5
soldiers and injured 24. "I'm trying to work myself out of a job, but
drawing down before conditions are stable creates a vacuum allowing Abu
Sayyaf to return," Coultrup warns. He estimates that his operation is at
the "70 percent to 75 percent level," but that more work needs to be
done to eliminate the final insurgent lairs deep in the jungles and
mountains. Lieutenant General Nelson Allaga, head of the Western
Mindanao Command, confirms: "For now, we really need the Americans'
support."
One of the beauties of this low-intensity approach
is that it can be continued indefinitely without much public opposition
or even notice. The reason why Operation Enduring Freedom-Philippines
gets so much less attention than the operations in Iraq and Afghanistan
is not hard to see. In Iraq there are 140,000 troops. In Afghanistan
35,000. In the Philippines 600. The Iraq war costs over $100 billion a
year, Afghanistan over $30 billion. The Philippines costs $52 million a
year.
Even more important is the human cost. While thousands of
Americans have been killed or maimed in Afghanistan and Iraq, in the
Philippines only one American soldier has died as a result of enemy
action--Special Forces Sergeant First Class Mark Jackson, who was killed
in 2002 by a bomb in Zamboanga City. Three soldiers have been wounded
in action, the most serious injuries being sustained by Captain Mike
Hummel in the same bombing. Ten more soldiers died in 2002 in an
accident when their MH-47 helicopter crashed. Every death is a tragedy,
but with the number of tragedies in the Philippines minuscule, there is
scant opposition to the mission either in the Philippines or in the
United States. That's important, because when battling an insurgency the
degree of success is often closely correlated to the duration of
operations.
The successes of the Philippines cannot be
replicated everywhere. To make this approach work requires having
capable partners in the local security forces, which wasn't the case in
either Iraq or Afghanistan immediately after the overthrow of the old
regimes. It helps that the Filipino population is generally pro-American
and thus receptive to the presence of some American troops. As Major
General Salvatore Cambria, commander of U.S. Special Operations Forces
in the Pacific, says, "This is a model, not the model." But
this "soft and light" approach--a "soft" counterinsurgency strategy, a
light American footprint--is a model that has obvious application to
many countries around the world where we cannot or will not send large
numbers of troops to stamp out affiliates of the global jihadist
network.
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